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Can improved diagnostics reduce mortality from Tuberculous meningitis?
Findings from a 6.5-year cohort in Uganda
Cresswell, F. V., Bangdiwala, A. S., Bahr, N. C., Trautner, E., Nuwagira, E., Ellis, J., Rajasingham, R., Rhein, J., Williams, D. A., Muzoora, C., Elliott, A. M., Meya, D. B., & Boulware, D. R. (2018). Can improved diagnostics reduce mortality from Tuberculous meningitis? Findings from a 6.5-year cohort in Uganda. Wellcome Open Research, 3, 64. https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.14610.2
Background: Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is the second most common cause of meningitis in sub-Saharan Africa and is notoriously difficult to diagnose. We describe the impact of improved TBM diagnostics over 6.5 years at two Ugandan referral hospitals. Methods: Cohort one received cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) smear microscopy only (2010-2013). Cohort two received smear microscopy and Xpert MTB/Rif (Xpert) on 1ml unprocessed CSF at physician discretion (2011-2013). Cohort three received smear microscopy, routine liquid-media culture and Xpert on large volume centrifuged CSF (2013-2017) for all meningitis suspects with a negative CSF cryptococcal antigen. We compared rates of microbiologically confirmed TBM and hospital outcomes over time. Results: 1672 HIV-infected adults presenting with suspected meningitis underwent lumbar puncture, of which 33% (558/1672) had negative CSF cryptococcal antigen and 12% (195/1672) were treated for TB meningitis. Over the study period, microbiological confirmation of TBM increased from 3% to 41% (P<0.01) and there was a decline in in-hospital mortality from 57% to 41% (P=0.27) amongst those with a known outcome. Adjusting for definite TBM diagnosis and antiretroviral therapy use, and using imputed data, assuming 50% of those with an unknown outcome died, the odds of dying were nearly twice as high in cohort one (adjusted odds ratio 1.7, 95% CI 0.7 to 4.4) compared to cohort three. Sensitivity of Xpert was 63% (38/60) and culture was 65% (39/60) against a composite reference standard. Conclusions: As TBM diagnostics have improved, microbiologically-confirmed TBM diagnoses have increased and in-hospital mortality has declined. Yet, mortality due to TB meningitis remains unacceptably high and further measures are needed to improve outcomes from TBM in Uganda.